Anti-Imperialism/Foreign Policy

Defanging Hezbollah

by Peter Zeihan on September 25, 2024

Things are heating up between Israel and Hezbollah, with both sides launching attacks on the other. This situation has intensified since Israel became a bit more sensitive to the Middle East’s normal methods of negotiations-via-explosions following the conflict in Gaza. Let’s break this all down.

Iran has been whispering in Hezbollah’s ear to attack Israel for “PR” purposes. Once Hezbollah launched an attack, the Israelis responded with last week’s pager attack. With communications compromised, Hezbollah commanders were forced to meet in person, enabling Israeli airstrikes to quickly eliminate some key leaders.

Hezbollah doesn’t seem to have any cards up their sleeves at this point. Comms are down, Israel’s Iron Dome defense system is effectively mitigating rocket attacks, and Iran’s hands are tied (unless they wish to start a broader conflict). While tensions remain high, Israel has the upper hand and Hezbollah would have to get really creative to make that change.

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