Peter Zeihan is one of the very best, if not the best, geopolitical analysts I have encountered in years. I disagree with his politics a great deal (he’s very pro-imperialist and regrets that recent US presidents have not been imperialist enough-WTF?) but as an analyst he’s fantastic. The most important aspect of his outlook is his recognition that neither Russia nor China has the capacity to replace the US as a dominant world power.