Economics/Class Relations

Reddit rally FOMO

March 22, 2024 • 5 min read
with Jordan Parker Erb
It’s Friday! I’m Jordan Parker Erb, filling in for Dan today. It’s March Madness, and as Dan shared yesterday, we created our own business, tech, and innovation bracket. Be sure to vote here, and we’ll share the results next week.

In today’s big story, Reddit shares soared during its public-trading debut. Users who scoffed at the IPO might be wishing they hadn’t.

What’s on deck
But first, do you have FOMO?

 

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W6/Getty Images; Jenny Chang-Rodriguez/BI
The big story
Reddit rally FOMO
Reddit finally went public with a sharp rally. Detractors are probably kicking themselves. 

 

Reddit stock surged yesterday in its highly anticipated public-trading debut. Shortly after trading began, the stock climbed as much as 70% to $57.80 — more than $20 than it was originally priced in its Wednesday IPO. It closed the day up roughly 50%.

 

And the rally may have some would-be investors kicking themselves.

 

Ahead of Reddit’s IPO, the company announced it would allocate 8% of shares to a group of retail investors, including top users and moderators on the platform.

 

The problem? Lots of Redditors weren’t interested, with some dismissing the opportunity outright, Business Insider’s Phil Rosen writes.

 

The Wall Street Journal initially reported that 75,000 users were invited to partake. But some questioned why the company would even consider going public, as it lost $90.8 million last year. (To be fair, Reddit did see revenue climb 20% compared to the prior year.)

 

The first-day pop saw some investors become very, very rich. Advance Magazine Publishers, which owns Condé Nast, looks to have about $2 billion in shares. Sam Altman and his various affiliates are looking at a $571.5 million payday, according to BI’s Samantha Stokes, Rebecca Torrence, and Vishal Persaud.

 

Now, some Redditors are feeling regretful.

 

“Those of you that got in and sold at the open, wish I was there with you,” one user wrote.

Jenny Chang-Rodriguez/BI
I asked Joe Ciolli, the executive editor overseeing our markets, investing, economy, and finance divisions, for any other main themes he’s watching. 

 

Here’s Joe’s take:

 

While the meta nature of the day-trader narrative is enticing, Reddit’s first-day stock pop can be largely traced to a familiar market force: AI.

 

In January, the company said it had inked nine figures worth of deals allowing content on its platform to be used for training AI models. Then, in February, it announced a deal to let Google’s AI products use its data. As a company hungry to juice revenue, AI partnerships seem to be its main focus. And for one day at least, that affiliation is serving as rocket fuel for the stock.

 

In addition, other companies looking to test the IPO market are surely watching Reddit and feeling emboldened by the stock pop. Is it a sign of a thawing market, or a short-term, AI-driven sugar high? That remains to be seen.

Read the full story
 
3 things in
Markets

 

🔔 Before the opening bell: US stock futures climb again in early-morning trading as the hope of Fed rate cuts continues to boost the market.

Gary Hershorn/Getty Images
1. The office-real-estate crash could be even worse than 2008. According to Fitch Ratings, the decline of office values could match or even exceed the Global Financial Crisis’ real-estate fallout.

 

2. The “Oracle of Wall Street” has a theory about why unemployment isn’t going up. Widespread layoffs haven’t led to a spike in the unemployment rate because companies are exacting revenge on remote workers who’ve secretly had a second job, veteran researcher Meredith Whitney said.

 

3. Traders have invested $55 million using an app that lets them copy congressional stock portfolios. Autopilot allows its users to copy trades by leading investors, as well as politicians including Nancy Pelosi and Dan Crenshaw. Cofounder Chris Josephs told BI that he hopes the app holds legislators’ “feet to the fire” and eventually leads to a ban on congressional stock trading.

 
3 things in
Tech
Justin Sullivan/Getty Images; Jenny Chang-Rodriguez/BI
1. Apple is under fire. In a new lawsuit, Apple is accused of intentionally limiting the functionality of other products and services to iPhone users, including making their communications with Androids worse. Google has railed against Apple over the janky green text bubbles for years — but now, the stakes are high.

 

2. Nvidia’s Stanley cup could be the year’s hottest collab. Earlier this week, Nvidia was selling $50 Stanley tumblers at its GTC conference. The cups, which have grown a cult-like following, appear to have sold out.

 

3. Women working in direct-to-consumer say they often feel excluded at networking events. Women in the industry told BI that it’s a struggle to fit into a community that promotes hustle culture. “For a long time, I tried to be one of the guys,” one said.

 
3 things in
Business
Westend61/Getty Images
1. Watch out, job seekers. Most hiring teams understand there’s some level of lying in the job-application process. Everyone plays the game, and sometimes that includes embellishing a little. But a recruiting manager shares the three things you should never lie about — because they’ll catch you.

 

2. Student-athlete marketing is leveling up for March Madness. TV is still king, but you can expect to see more student-athlete ads during this year’s tournament. Influencer marketers have done more forward planning as student-athlete marketing matures — but brands will need to be nimble if they want it to succeed.

 

3. Joe Rogan has a huge audience. Spotify has started testing a feature that shows podcasts’ follower counts, per Bloomberg. “The Joe Rogan Experience” doesn’t just come out on top — it’s nearly three times the size of its closest competitor.

 
 

In other news

 

 
 

What’s happening today
  • The Federal Reserve Board is hosting a “Fed Listens” event.

 

 
The Insider Today team

Jordan Parker Erb, editor, in New York. Joe Ciolli, executive editor, in Chicago. Hallam Bullock, editor, in London. George Glover, reporter, in London. Grace Lett, associate editor, in Chicago. Lisa Ryan, executive editor, in New York.

 

Get in touch. Email us at insidertoday@insider.com

 

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