by Peter Zeihan on June 1, 2023

In mid-May, the US Trade Representative established a trade initiative with Taiwan. While this isn’t a full-blown trade deal, it represents the shift in US policy towards recognizing Taiwan as an independent country.

Taiwan is already an important trade partner for the US, so the economic rationale is there. You can also throw a check next to strategic reasoning, as keeping Taiwan out of Beijing’s grasp means access to critical military positioning for the US.

You can probably guess how the mainland feels about all this…but does that mean an invasion will happen? Unfortunately, I could see this going either way. It would be hard to imagine a world where Xi considers an attack a good idea, but who knows what will happen if everyone keeps drinking the CCP-Propaganda-Kool-Aid?

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