American Decline

ATS Predictions That Have Actually Happened and/or Are Happening

1. Increased multipolarity due to the BRICS/Global South insurgency.

2. Increased multilateralism among the Western alliance due to receding American power.

3. Decline of US hegemony due to imperial overreach and loss of legitimacy.

4. Entrenchment of totalitarian humanism as the dominant ruling class ideology

5. Escalation of US cultural polarization

6. Escalation of PC extremism

7. Pushback against PC from the Center.

8. Fracturing of the Right into accommodationist and militant resistance wings in response to TH

9. Rise of populism, left and right, in response to globalization, neoliberalism, and the digital revolution.

10. Lumpenproletarian insurrection against the police state.

11. The rise of domestic armed fourth-generation warfare factions.

12. Proliferation of international armed fourth-generation warfare factions

13. Rise of global populist-nationalism against Atlanticism and globalism

14. Movement of previously identified “10 core demographics”

15. The libertarian-populist “purple tribe”

16. The IDW as a “grey tribe”

17. Issue-based micro-level pan-secessionist enclaves

18. Rising sympathy for macro-level pan-secessionism

19. Mainstreaming of discussion of “national divorce,” “breakup,” “civil war,” etc.

20. The decline of cultural conservatism due to generational, cultural, technological, demographic, economic, and partisan changes

21. Decreased influence of organized religion

22. Mainstreaming of “progressive” cultural norms

23. “Defund the police” and “progressive prosecutors” as a backlash against overcriminalization and overreach in the 80s and 90s.

24. The decline of the “war on drugs” in favor of decriminalization.

25. Mainstreaming of the transgender, polyamory, and sex worker rights movements.

26. Increased fracturing of the “PC coalition” due to conflicts between identity and ideological groups.

27. Increased rightward drift of conservative members of traditional minority groups.

28. The growth of the underclass and reproletarianized working class.

29. Increased conflict on the left over whether the ruling class or the right-wing is the greater enemy.

30. Increased conflict on the left over alleged “Red/Brown” alliances.

31. Splits between the antiwar, civil liberties, economic, identitarian, and progressive left sectors

32. Emergence of a left/right libertarian-populist alliance against US imperialism.

33. Splits between the identitarian left and “class reductionist” left

34. Increased labor militancy in service industry sectors

35. Growth of mutual aid projects

36. Growth of the “prison abolition” movement

37. Increased homelessness and calls for repression of the homeless by the state

38. Eclipsing of old elites by new money, bourgeoise bohemians, and PMC

39. Growing veteran disenchantment and declining military popularity

40. Increased calls for universal basic income

41. Increased interest in startup societies and network states

42. Renewed interest in 19th/20th century extremist ideologies

43. Growing proliferation of unusual subcultures and identity groups.

44. Growing cooptation of the left by new capital and imperialism

45. Increased criticism of US relations with Israel and Saudi Arabia

There are other examples. Some of these are now well-established. Others are only in their embryonic stages. But the general ATS paradigm so far seems to have been vindicated by experience. Another example is the way the therapeutic state showed itself during the pandemic. I’m sure my readers could think of other examples.

 

 

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