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A Liberation Day for Trump

April 8, 2026
Welcome to The Lighthouse, the weekly email newsletter of the Independent Institute covering politics, economics, current events, and everything in between.
Dear Readers,

The following pieces offer a range of perspectives on some of the most consequential questions we’re facing right now—most notably on Iran. Scott A. Burns and Caleb S. Fuller contest the Trump administration’s mercantilist reasoning regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Then, Ivan Eland dissects why tactical wins don’t equal a won war and Trump’s recent national address.

Economically, Craig Eyermann discusses the recent CBO deficit projection. Scott Beyer points out several factors that have contributed to lower birth rates in America, while Alex Tokarev reminds us that we are living through unprecedented material progress. Finally, Caleb Pettit shares a new dataset that reveals America’s hollow shipbuilding industry.

Happy reading.

Jonathan Hofer
Managing Editor

Top picks this week

A Liberation Day for Trump

by Scott A. Burns and Caleb S. Fuller

By Trump’s mercantilist logic, Iran is doing us a favor by closing the Strait.
Read More

Trump’s Big Speech on His Iran War Was a Big Nothing Burger

by Ivan Eland

If the national audience expected major changes or a clear plan from President Trump’s recent speech justifying his war on Iran, they were let down.
Read More

How to Make Uncle Sam’s Spending Sustainable

by Craig Eyermann

If things go as the CBO projects, Uncle Sam’s annual budget deficit will grow from $1.87 trillion in 2026 to nearly $8.82 trillion in 2056.
Read More

Why Is America Experiencing A Lower Birthrate?

Prosperity, economic pressure, and cultural change are converging in ways that discourage family formation.

by Scott Beyer

Competing explanations for the lower birthrate seem contradictory, yet both contain elements of truth—and even work in tandem.
Read More

A Look at Our Material Progress

by Alek Tokarev

The truth is that, in material terms, we live in the best of times. And it will get even better.
Read More

Jones Act Parts Dataset: Where Ships Really Come From

by Caleb Petitt

The American shipbuilding industry barely exists anymore, and one of the causes of its decline is protectionist laws that have fostered inefficiency in the maritime industry.
Read More

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The Crisis Since 9/11

by Robert Higgs

Exploring the politics and morality that pulled the United States into wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, this collection of essays, stories, and satirical pieces lambasts the highest officials in the executive branch for incompetence and moral blindness.
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