| ◼ No cease-fire in the podcasting wars as yet.
◼ By the time you read this, the status of the cease-fire with Iran that is intended to open the Strait of Hormuz may well have changed again. At this writing, Iran has not ceased firing at Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Kuwait. Israel insists that the deal does not include any reprieve for Hezbollah in Lebanon, while the Iranians insist that it does. Meanwhile, the strait remains mostly closed. President Trump has always been prone to posting furious outbursts on Truth Social, and he seems to be getting more erratic as the war continues. On Tuesday morning, the president was warning that “a whole civilization will die.” About twelve hours later, Iran’s release of wildly unrealistic demands was supposedly good enough to persuade the president to back down. But a little before midnight on Wednesday, Trump declared that U.S. military forces would remain in the region “until such time as the REAL AGREEMENT reached is fully complied with.” In the “highly unlikely” event it is not, “then the ‘Shootin’ Starts,’ bigger, and better, and stronger than anyone has ever seen before.” It is a blessing that Iran’s military has been degraded and we continue to hope for a good outcome, but steadier leadership in war would be helpful.
◼ A U.S. F-15E fighter jet was downed over Iran. The regime would have loved to capture either of the pilots who ejected. Instead, the United States mounted a stunning operation that involved the establishment of a forward-operating airbase deep inside Iran — just 30 miles outside Iran’s third-largest city — and recovered its airmen. According to the president, the mission became “much more difficult” when a reporter leaked information about the recovery of one of the jet’s officers even as the second was still at risk of Iranian capture. Trump has vowed to sic the Department of Justice on the unidentified reporter. Knees should not jerk about freedom of the press. Identifying the Pentagon’s point of failure in preserving operational security is important, and reporters have gone to jail before for protecting sources who jeopardize national security.
◼ Secretary of State Marco Rubio rescinded the green cards of two relatives of Qasem Soleimani, who orchestrated the deaths of hundreds of Americans as the top commander of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps until Trump had him assassinated in 2020. While the Iranian people suffer under the regime’s tyranny, children of top Iranian officials often live lavish lives in the West — many relishing the Great Satan’s non-sharia-compliant liberties. So it has been for the late general’s niece, Hamideh Soleimani Afshar, and her daughter. Our immigration authorities awarded them lawful permanent resident alien status, the law’s privileged gateway to American citizenship. Afshar reciprocated, from her glamorous California haunts, by publicly advocating the regime’s “Death to America” agenda. Rubio is relying on an immigration statute that lets the secretary deport even lawful aliens if he determines that their presence harms U.S. foreign policy interests. Other aliens against whom Rubio has invoked the provision have so far delayed their deportations through court challenges. Afshar and her daughter are detained. It’s unclear whether they’ll resist repatriation to Allah’s paradise on earth.
◼ Fewer people now work for the federal government than at any point since 1966, when Lyndon Johnson expanded the bureaucracy to construct his “Great Society.” The Trump administration deserves credit for this milestone. More than 150,000 federal employees accepted a buyout offer from the administration early in Trump’s term. Tens of thousands more were let go in lawful “reductions in force” as agencies reorganized. Even with fewer employees, though, the size of government has not been tamed. Federal spending accounted for a near-record share of the U.S. economy in 2025 and is projected to grow much more. Trump recently proposed a 2027 budget that would dramatically cut non-defense discretionary spending. But those savings would be swamped by the large-scale yet necessary defense expenditures he’s proposing. Meanwhile, unlike in past presidential budget proposals, Trump makes no effort to even mention entitlements such as Medicare and Social Security: the true drivers of gaping deficits. Almost no one in Washington has any interest in bringing long-term revenues and total spending into accord. Trimming the federal bureaucracy was a needed step toward rationalizing the size and scope of government. But there is much more work to be done.
◼ On April 2, 2025, Trump announced that he was liberating America from the scourge of imports. The worst predicted effects have not materialized, in part because Trump quickly backed off on some of the tariffs. Nor, however, have jobs and factories come “roaring back.” Manufacturing has shed tens of thousands of jobs, continuing a slide that began in 2023. Research finds that tariffs are passed on to Americans at rates of up to 96 percent, rather than paid by foreign countries, as Trump claims. Tariffs have raised the prices of imported and domestic goods alike, as dampened competition invites U.S. producers to charge more. They have also failed to reduce the U.S. trade deficit, a principal if dubious goal of the president. American consumers, including American producers, can be forgiven if they do not feel liberated. |