Cuba is being cut off from its alternative energy suppliers too. Washington has pressured Mexico not to sell them any. China and Russia are too far or don’t have the capacity. So, Cuba has already run out of aviation fuel and a prolonged energy shortage is likely. With energy collapse in motion, it could be the end for the Cuban government (which would open up a whole new can of worms).

The U.S. is nudging Cuba toward systemic collapse, but the fallout might hit Florida and domestic politics harder than expected.

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