Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party just won a two-thirds majority in the lower house. This gives Prime Minister Takaichi a rare personal mandate and practically total control of the government for the next few years.
Now that the PM can act decisively, we could see changes in the U.S.-Japan relationship. Japan is still facing the same core problems: demographic decline, debt, and forever out of reach of its old economic weight. At the same time, the U.S. alliance is growing shakier by the day; we’re not in the danger zone yet, but Japan is beginning to see the writing on the wall.
So, Japan could begin the process of constitutional change to loosen military constraints, but that’s not going to come overnight. Japan isn’t breaking away, just getting ready for the alliance to weaken.
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