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Tehran has over 10 million people that rely upon both surface water and aquifers, but a decade of drought has put strain on both water sources. The current draw rates are unsustainable, but that doesn’t mean it will reach a crisis point. Iran has already reduced water pressure across much of the capital to stretch supplies. Places like South Africa show that even if a tipping point approaches, rapid changes can help mitigate some of the fallout.

So, unless the taps run dry, I don’t expect this to cause political instability in Iran.

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