Geopolitics

‘They can target the money’

Recently, in The Signal: Why are there so many toxic chemicals in food? Rashmi Joglekar on where they come from and what they’re doing to people and the planet.

Today: What is financial repression? Félix Maradiaga on how autocratic regimes are using the global banking system, international law, and new technologies in an old struggle to suppress dissent and hold power.

+ Is China gearing up to invade Taiwan? Notes from Oslo. & New music from Djrum

FEATURE

Cash grab

Mohamed Marey
After Félix Maradiaga’s father died in a traffic accident, his mother, a high-school teacher, worked also as a merchant with a small store to keep things solvent for her family. In the circumstances, it was a difficult decision for her, but when Félix was 12, she sent him from their home in Nicaragua to the United States with a few U.S. dollars tucked into the lining of his shoes; the ruling Sandinistas had confiscated the rest. For a time, Félix lived in a refugee facility, before a Nicaraguan family in South Florida took him in for two years. When he eventually returned home, he intended to build back what the regime had taken from his family—and he did, for a while. But then he got into politics.

As Maradiaga became more prominent in Nicaragua’s democratic opposition, the regime started moving against him. In 2021, he announced he’d run against President Daniel Ortega. Soon after, he was arrested and confined to the brutal conditions of a Nicaraguan maximum-security prison for almost two years. The Ortega regime subsequently expelled him back to the United States, but not before revoking his Nicaraguan citizenship and confiscating his assets. Since then, the regime has maneuvered to keep him locked out of the international banking system, monitoring and confiscating the assets of his extended family, too. Which is to say, they’ve subjected Maradiaga to methodical financial repression.

For as long as there’ve been autocratic regimes at all, they’ve used financial means to silence dissent and tighten their hold on power. But the techniques of financial repression that the Sandinista government has used against Maradiaga in Nicaragua are in some ways new—and those that dictators are using against their populations around the world continue to evolve. So how does financial repression work today?

Beyond his entrepreneurial and political work, Félix Maradiaga was the secretary-general of Nicaragua’s Defense Ministry, from 2002 to 2006, co-founded the Civil Society Leadership Institute, and has co-authored a number of books about the attrition of democracy in Latin America. Maradiaga says that as technology has changed, so have the tactics of financial repression. New international laws against money laundering, for instance—seemingly straightforward on their face—have given dictators new ways to silence critics. Autocracies like Russia, China, and Iran are meanwhile increasingly collaborating with one another to extend the reach of their repression efforts. And yet activists now have better technology, too. They can use Bitcoin, encrypted communications, decentralized platforms, and even AI-driven organizing strategies to get around the state’s new surveillance methods. The balance of power is still with the autocrats, Maradiaga says, but it’s at least a real fight …

Read on
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CONNECTIONS / FROM THE MEMBER’S DESPATCH

Is China gearing up to invade Taiwan?

Since Taiwan’s President Lai Ching-te (also known as William Lai) took office one year ago this week, his country’s relationship with China has tanked.

Not that it was good to begin with. But from Lai’s election in January 2024 and throughout the remainder of the year, the Chinese military flew 3,075 sorties into Taiwanese airspace. It was a record for any calendar year—and 80 percent higher than what they did in in 2023.

Meanwhile, Beijing staged three large-scale exercises around Taiwan over the past 12 months. The drill by the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) last December was one of China’s biggest deployments of naval forces ever.

Why are things getting so tense?

Open
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DEVELOPMENTS / FROM OSLO
Under Paris skies
A French court has denied a request by Pavel Durov, the co-founder of the encrypted-messaging app Telegram, to travel to Norway to speak at the Oslo Freedom Forum on May 27. The Human Rights Foundation—a partner organization with The Signal—invited Durov to OFF discuss free speech, surveillance, and digital rights.

  • Durov is on bail in France for charges related to alleged criminal activity on Telegram. French authorities haven’t accused him of committing any crimes personally but argue that he’s legally responsible for criminal uses of his platform by others.
  • The Human Rights Foundation noted that blocking Durov affects not just the conference but planned private meetings with “dozens of human rights defenders from totalitarian regimes” who rely on Telegram to communicate freely.
  • The Human Rights Foundation’s CEO Thor Halvorssen: “It is unfortunate that French courts would block Mr. Durov from participating in an event where his voice is so needed. Technologies like Telegram are basic tools for those resisting tyranny. This is more than a disappointment for our community; it is a setback for freedom.”

The courts have previously granted Durov permission to leave the country while on bail, making this denial unexpected—and suggesting either a changing attitude toward his case generally or concern about the nature of this high-profile speaking engagement specifically.

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Coming soon: Farida Nabourema on why Bitcoin has become so popular with dissidents living in dictatorships …
MUSIC
‘Waxcap’
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Categories: Geopolitics

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