Geopolitics

Turkey Takes a Break from Democracy

by Peter Zeihan on April 10, 2025

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It appears that democracy has fallen in Turkey, as Erdogan has arrested his only major political challenger – Istanbul’s mayor, Ekrem İmamoğlu. With Erdogan’s suppression of his (only) political opposition, he has signaled the transition from a democracy to an autocracy.

Protests have broken out but given Erdogan’s control of the military and security forces…meaningful change is unlikely. As the Middle East becomes a distant thought for the US, I wouldn’t expect any semblance of an American response. Similarly for European powers, since economic and security ties run deep with Turkey, challenging Erdogan would be a major faux pas.

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Categories: Geopolitics

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