by Peter Zeihan on March 13, 2025

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Following the March 4th elections, the Germans are poised to see a significant political and military shift. The ruling Social Democrats suffered a heavy loss, and the Christian Democrats gained significant ground. These parties are now negotiating a coalition, with constitutional amendments allowing for increased deficit spending at the top of the docket.

This marks a dramatic shift for the Germans, as they’ve had decades of limited military spending (for good reason). We can thank Trump for this change, as his stance on Europe, Russia, and NATO left no real alternative for the Germans. These new plans include at least doubling defense spending and creating a massive fund for military-industrial expansion, placing German military expenditures in the 5% of GDP range.

The historic significance of this shift is not lost on me. To add insult to injury, the US government is empowering Germany’s neo-Nazis. I’m not saying that this is the end for democracy and pacifism in Germany, but there are a lot of factors at play here.

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