Geopolitics

Ukraine Pushes Into Russia, Yet Nukes Didn’t Fly…

by Peter Zeihan on August 22, 2024
Ukraine has made a significant push into Russian territory, capturing roughly 1,000 square kilometers within the Kursk province. The Ukrainians also destroyed a handful of bridges that will hinder Russia’s logistical support for Belgorod and complicate Russian reinforcement efforts.

Ukraine’s incursion into Kursk has Russia scrambling to pull together enough troops to counter the push, but the Russians lack the manpower and leadership necessary to effectively do so. This is a huge strategic gain for Ukraine, but it pales in comparison to the bigger learning here.

Despite Ukraine crossing into Russian territory, and dealing a huge blow to Russian forces, nukes haven’t flown. This might signal to the West that Russia’s bark is louder than its bite, and those nuclear threats may be just that…threats.

This could be a turning point in Western support for Ukraine and we could be seeing more operations in the near future.

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