| ◼ Trump’s goal for January: win more primaries than he loses court cases.
◼ Donald Trump romped in Iowa, as widely expected and projected in every single pre-caucus poll. He is well on his way to a third consecutive Republican nomination and is duly vacuuming up endorsements from GOP officials. Ron DeSantis banked everything on Iowa and, while he managed to beat out Nikki Haley for second place after a long war of attrition, he lost to Trump by 30 points. It’s hard to see a plausible path ahead for him. Obviously, running against Donald Trump this year was always going to be difficult, but the DeSantis campaign still has to count among the most disappointing and poorly run in recent memory. Nikki Haley didn’t get the second place she hoped would generate momentum going into New Hampshire, where Trump leads in almost every poll. She has sometimes looked competitive in the Granite State, though, and has a (slight) chance of catching Trump there. But everything suggests her coalition is too dependent on moderates and independents to be built for victory in a Republican-nomination battle. The party has better options than Donald Trump, but, if the Iowa results are any indication, it is not interested in them.
◼ The latest two candidates to drop out of the Republican primaries represent different varieties of futility. The first, that of Asa Hutchinson, merits respect. Hutchinson, a solid if unspectacular Arkansas politician (governor, U.S. representative) and civil servant, staked out a firmly Trump-skeptical position and said forthright things about the former president’s character and legal troubles when most of the candidates wouldn’t. This was a costly stance in a Trump-friendly primary electorate; that he seemed like a figure from the GOP’s past, out of step with the party on other issues (such as transgenderism), doomed his candidacy from the start. The second brand of futility belongs to Vivek Ramaswamy. The biotech entrepreneur ran almost as a Trump surrogate, especially in the debates (from which Trump was absent), with extra helpings of conspiracy-theorizing. Trump appreciated the sycophancy, but in the days before the Iowa caucuses he turned on Ramaswamy. After the results came in, Ramaswamy endorsed Trump, perhaps with an eye toward a cabinet appointment or a long-shot vice-presidential slot. Many dismiss him as an insincere opportunist, but this is unfair: The opportunism seems entirely sincere.
◼ Trump stormed out of Iowa and on to . . . no, not New Hampshire, but a courtroom in Lower Manhattan. He is defending himself in a second trial on civil claims by journalist and advice columnist E. Jean Carroll. She alleges that Trump raped her in the mid Nineties. In 2019, she went public. Then-president Trump vilified her as a liar trying to sell books. Carroll sued him for defamation, then added a sexual-assault claim. Trump, by claiming presidential immunity, was able to delay the 2019 defamation trial in appellate courts. But, being Trump, he repeated his verbal attacks on Carroll in 2022, so she sued him again. After a jury found him liable for sexual abuse (it did not reach agreement on the more serious charge of rape) and defamation, awarding Carroll $5 million in damages, he launched more diatribes, and she sued yet again in 2023. It is the open defamation claims (2019 and 2023) that are now being tried. Clinton-appointed judge Lewis Kaplan has barred Trump from claiming innocence, reasoning that the first jury already resolved that—this trial is just about damages. Trump, of course, is livid and unable to retain competent counsel, so the trial has become a circus.
◼ The Georgia prosecution of Trump and 18 others is mired in scandal. One defendant alleges that District Attorney Fani Willis asked Fulton County for funding to address a Covid-era backlog of cases, then diverted nearly $1 million to hire private lawyer Nathan Wade as a special prosecutor on the case. The further allegation is that Willis has been romantically involved with the married Wade and benefited from the fees she paid him as the two jetted to or cruised in Napa Valley, Florida, and the Caribbean. Wade is an experienced attorney but has never tried a felony case, much less a complex RICO prosecution. There are questions about whether Wade filed required oaths of office with the court; meanwhile, Willis has been subpoenaed in the divorce case brought by Wade’s wife (from which some of the defendant’s allegations were mined before the file was mysteriously sealed). The defendant is seeking dismissal of the indictment and disqualification of Willis and Wade. In her first public comments on the allegations, Willis admitted that she is “flawed” but cried racism. The progressive Democrats who’ve lined up to prosecute Trump are a motley crew.
◼ Cold weather can make the battery of an electric vehicle (EV) take longer to charge and its range to fall substantially, especially if a chilly driver unwisely turns on the heater. Chicago recently received a taste of what this could mean, when a very cold snap left some EV drivers hurrying to charging stations only to find lines so long that their cars were out of power before the rescuing volts could flow. Infuriating, but it was their choice to buy an EV. As climate-related regulations tighten, however, the ability to choose a new car other than an EV will be steadily reduced—and, in some places, eliminated. That’s bad in principle and, as drivers may discover, in practice. It will also lessen the competitive pressure on EV manufacturers to innovate their way out of this and other problems. |