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The Winner in Ukraine Won’t Be Russia or America. It Will Be China.

I tend to regard Ukraine as Russia’s Iraq War, but even if Putin is more limited in his objectives and essentially gets away with it, it will come at the cost of increased Russian dependency on China’s energy markets, military and diplomatic support, and financial system.  At best, Putin is going in debt to China to pay for giving the bird to the West.

By Jeremy Stern, Tablet

A seat at the European table won’t be too much to ask for the man who saves Europe from nuclear war.

In addition to the crimes, the heroism, and the heavy toll in blood, the struggle for Ukraine may also come to represent one of the most strategically significant events of this century, or any other—the one that established China, not America or Russia, as the dominant power in Europe.

Most Western observers have taken Beijing’s professed readiness “to play a constructive role to facilitate dialogue for peace” as a sign that Ukraine is somewhere between a headache and a disaster for Xi Jinping, who announced a Sino-Russian partnership with “no limits” at the Beijing Olympics only last month. The assumption is that Xi is now in danger of looking complicit or credulous (or both), and that the Communist Party—having argued incessantly for the sanctity of China’s own territorial integrity—may now stand accused of hypocrisy. Xi’s support of Putin is also seen as having put Beijing at risk of igniting anti-Chinese sentiment in Europe, of squandering the many investments it made and trade relationships it built in the European Union, and of pushing otherwise friendly EU capitals closer to Washington.

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