Electoralism/Democratism

Will swing districts soon become a thing of the past?

By Brigid Kennedy The Week

This year’s redistricting cycle has thus far been one for the ages, drawing “more interest and scrutiny than ever because the power of the process has become so clear,” reports Politico: When it’s politicians drawing the maps, they’re shoring up most or all of a state’s congressional districts as “solid red or solid blue for years to come,” leaving little room for unpredictability.

Over the last 10 years, nearly 90 percent of congressional races held in states where legislators controlled redistricting “resulted in easy victories … for one party or the other,” writes Politico. In locales where courts or commissions were in charge of maps, the “rate of competitive races was almost twice as high.”

As shown by the last decade, redistricting has a powerful effect on shaping the House of Representatives, writes Politico. Notably, in the last three elections, any effectively-flipped swing seats “came from commission- and court-drawn districts, while the congressional delegations from legislature-drawn states changed relatively little.”

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