Culture Wars/Current Controversies

How scared should we be about 2024?

Over the weekend it was impossible for me to go on social media and not see someone linking or hyping Robert Kagan’s latest in The Washington Post. Kagan starts his essay with a large bucket of cold water: “The United States is heading into its greatest political and constitutional crisis since the Civil War, with a reasonable chance over the next three to four years of incidents of mass violence, a breakdown of federal authority, and the division of the country into warring red and blue enclaves.”

That sounds pretty bad, and Kagan does not let up from there. He warns, “It would be foolish to imagine that the violence of Jan. 6 was an aberration that will not be repeated,” and “Trump and his Republican allies are actively preparing to ensure his victory by whatever means necessary.” He warns that, “Most Americans — and all but a handful of politicians — have refused to take this possibility seriously enough to try to prevent it.” Kagan closes his essay by urging constitutional Republicans and Democrats to ally and pass voting rights legislation to prevent Donald Trump and his Republican acolytes from doing competently in 2024 what they incompetently attempted to do in 2020.


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