| ◼ Who needed just the one moon anyway?
◼ There’s no way around it: Donald Trump had a tantrum and harmed the statistical apparatus of the U.S. government. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is just about the least political government agency there is, full of stats nerds who have established a sterling record of revising jobs numbers in whichever direction the data say under presidents of both parties. Their task has become harder in recent years because the response rate to the employer survey used for the jobs report has declined steeply since Covid. Trump’s appointee as BLS commissioner in 2019, William Beach, has begged Congress for funding to modernize the survey, and an advisory task force was studying how other countries have improved their survey response rates. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick disbanded that task force in February, and Congress hasn’t approved more funding. Trump got a jobs report he didn’t like and fired Beach’s successor, Erika McEntarfer. Trump is shooting the messenger of bad economic news, not unlike when China discontinues inconvenient data series that make the Communist Party look bad. The BLS will continue to do its work, but now under a justified cloud of speculation that it is manipulating data to avoid Trump’s wrath. And the economy itself is what it is, no matter how the statistics are reported.
◼ “We’ve reviewed the science, listened to the experts, and acted,” Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy Jr. declared. He directed the cancellation of $500 million in “investments” related to the development of mRNA vaccines—the most famous of which were Pfizer and Moderna’s Covid shots. Kennedy insists that “mRNA technology poses more risk than benefits for these respiratory viruses,” and his department would instead advocate live-virus vaccines for infections such as cold, flu, and, presumably, Covid. The mRNA vaccines do require tweaking to counter viral adaptation, but they don’t carry the slight risk of real infection, as live-virus vaccines do. The vast body of clinical evidence suggests the Covid shots were both safe and highly effective at preventing bad health outcomes or death as a result of infection, even if they did not stop viral transmission. The potential for mRNA vaccines goes well beyond Covid, though. They may help immunologists develop vaccines for diseases such as malaria, dengue and yellow fever, rabies, hepatitis C, and Ebola. They could even be used to develop individualized treatments for certain cancers. The U.S. is not giving up on mRNA research—just, apparently, in the area in which its application has proven most effective. Kennedy is handing that singular American achievement over to other countries, from which they will prosper. Also bearing responsibility: Republican senators who failed to exercise their constitutional authority to keep this crank out of the cabinet.
◼ Acting NASA Administrator Sean Duffy announced this week that his agency would “move quickly” to develop and deploy a nuclear reactor to the surface of the moon by 2030. And it is a race. “China and Russia have announced on at least three occasions a joint effort to place a reactor on the Moon by the mid-2030s,” Duffy’s directive read. “The first country to do so could potentially declare a keep-out zone,” it continued. Presumably, if America landed a reactor first, it would do the same. We can deduce, therefore, that earthly geopolitics will extend into the solar system—it’s only a matter of when and who sets the rules first. A nuclear reactor on the moon would be a vital component of any strategy to exploit the resources outside America’s atmosphere. At the moon’s poles, the plant would rapidly process the 600 million tons of ice trapped in dark lunar craters into oxygen and hydrogen, turning the moon into a way point on the path to Mars and the Asteroid Belt. This may sound like science fiction. But so, too, did the prospect of a commercial space industry, and that is our status quo today. Trump’s NASA deserves credit for thinking both big and long-term. |