As Donald Trump’s bragging about sexual assault attempts were released, many saw the scandal as a nail in the coffin of his campaign for the US 2016 presidential election.
According to a Real Clear Politics average of recent polls, Trump is trailing Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by 5.5 points while a poll by the NBC News/Wall Street Journal released on Sunday, showed the former secretary of state leads the real estate mogul by 11 points.
Trump’s drop in polls followed the release of a 2005 recording, in which he is heard bragging about groping women without consent.
Apart from that, there has been a “wide range of reasons” for Clinton’s victory since the beginning of the election process, Keith Preston, the chief editor of AttacktheSystem.com, told Press TV in a phone interview on Sunday.
“The most important thing is demographics. It’s currently the case in the United Sates that the population groups that are inclined to vote for the Democratic Party are simply larger in number,” Preston said.
However, there are also those who “consistently” opt for the GOP, including a large portion of people “in the south and the Midwest as well as elderly white people, on a more general level.”
The Virginia-based analyst further suggested that it would be difficult for Trump to tackle such demographic issues, “particularly given that he is such a divisive figure within his own party.”
“As the election is getting closer, it does look like that Hillary Clinton is going to be the winner.”
There are, however, four factors that could possibly change the equation in favor of the New York businessman, Preston noted.
“One would be if lots of Democratic Party voters simply abstain from voting because they find Mrs. Clinton unpalatable as a candidate. There are certainly many Democrats who feel that way,” he said.
The second factor, according to Preston, involves the Trump campaign’s potential “appeal” to the working class, who classically vote for the Democrats.
“Another would be if Trump manages to get a large crossover vote from blue collar and working class Democrats.”
There is also another factor with a “fairly dubious” prospect and that is the US minorities’ votes for Trump.
”Another issue would be if Trump is able to get an unusually high percentage of the votes of the racial and ethnic minorities,” among whom the New York billionaire is currently quite unpopular.
The course of the election could also turn in Trump’s favor if third party presidential candidates, Jill Stein from the Green Party and Gary Johnson from the Libertarian Party, gain more power in the run-up to the November 8 vote.
“It’s possible that these two candidates could draw votes from Mrs. Clinton and put Donald Trump on top.”
Preston argued, however, that as the Election Day approaches, Trump’s presidency looks “increasingly unlikely.”