Will the US be a one-party state in the future? In the past, I have thought that as the Republicans’ demographic base continues to shrink they would likely reinvent themselves as a pretend populist-nationalist part (which has since happened with Trump) and that some on the right would move to a more extreme position (e.g. Alt-Right). But the key to remaining competitive for the Republicans is likely to develop the ability to attract more union members, Hispanics, and African-Americans who feel threatened by a combination of “free trade” (neoliberal economics) and immigration. A GOP that reinvented itself in the image of France’s National Rally (semi-isolationist, populist, to the left of neoliberalism on economics, and comparatively more “liberal” social questions) might be able to hold its ground to a much greater degree than the dying Buckley-Goldwater-Reagan “conservative” coalition of military hawks, corporatists, and social conservatives. Read about the LePenist movement in France and notice the similarities between it and Trumpism.
